Phillips Curve – Piazza Carlo Giuliani http://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/ Fri, 30 Sep 2022 04:55:06 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=5.9.3 https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/cropped-icon-1-32x32.png Phillips Curve – Piazza Carlo Giuliani http://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/ 32 32 In a sea of ​​red, why are ASX 200 gold stocks shining bright on Friday? https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/in-a-sea-of-red-why-are-asx-200-gold-stocks-shining-bright-on-friday/ Fri, 30 Sep 2022 04:55:06 +0000 https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/in-a-sea-of-red-why-are-asx-200-gold-stocks-shining-bright-on-friday/

Image source: Getty Images

ASX 200 gold stocks are having a bumper weekend as the price of gold recovers from two-year lows earlier in the week.

Among the rising gold explorers are Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX:NCM), Northern Star Resources Ltd. (ASX:NST) and Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX:EVN).

So why are ASX 200 gold stocks having such a good day?

Gold prices are recovering

Newcrest shares are up nearly 2.97%, Northern Star Resources shares are up 3.41% and Evolution Mining shares are 2.52% in the green. Other rising gold miners include St Barbara Ltd (ASX: SBM), up 5.4%, as well as Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX:SLR) and Regis Resources Limited (ASX: RRL), both up 5% and 4.8% respectively.

The price of spot gold rose 0.15% to US$1,671 per ounce at the time of writing. CNBC the data shows. However, the price of gold recovered 2.5% from the more than two-year low of S$1,629.50 on Monday afternoon.

The price of gold fluctuated overnight as investors priced in a slight drop in the US dollar and possible US rate hikes. Commenting on the price of gold, OANDA senior analyst Edward Moya, quoted by the CNBC said:

A slightly weaker dollar today might provide some relief… but the key takeaway should always be what’s happening with yields, the short end of the curve is still up sharply.

You’re probably dealing with a gold market that’s still going to react to anything related to the dollar, anything related to Fed expectations.

Meanwhile, St Barbara confirmed yesterday that it was in talks with operators in the St Leonora area regarding ‘one or more potential business combinations’ to unlock ‘operating and development synergies in the area’ .

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Job vacancies, job turnover and disinflation https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/job-vacancies-job-turnover-and-disinflation/ Tue, 27 Sep 2022 08:25:54 +0000 https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/job-vacancies-job-turnover-and-disinflation/

The tight labor market in the United States plays a crucial role in the central bank’s efforts to bring inflation back to its target. Slower labor income growth should lead to slower demand growth, while lower wage increases will ease pressure on business profit margins and reduce the need for businesses to charge higher prices. The labor market is characterized by a dynamic interaction between job creations, vacancies, voluntary departures (resignations) and dismissals. In the United States, job vacancies and the quit rate have started to decline and this momentum is expected to accelerate, leading to slower wage growth. The question remains how much this will reduce inflation, which is why Federal Reserve policy is completely dependent on data.

The US labor market is very tight. The unemployment rate is very low, the number of job vacancies is exceptionally high, job turnover as measured by the quit rate is also high, the monthly change in non-farm payrolls remains high despite the economic slowdown and, unsurprisingly , annual wage growth is strong, even more so for job changers.

A tight labor market is both a consequence and a cause of strong demand in the economy. This implies that it plays a crucial dual role in the central bank’s effort to bring inflation back to its target. On the one hand, slower wage growth should help dampen inflationary pressures because, ceteris paribus, it implies slower labor income growth. This should weigh on the economy’s final demand as well as labor demand, at least in some sectors. Additionally, lower wage increases will ease the pressure on corporate profit margins, reducing the need for businesses to charge higher prices. On the other hand, the slowdown in growth will weigh on the labor market via a slowdown in job creation and less wage growth.

The objective of a restrictive monetary policy is to lower inflation. To this end, inflation expectations need to be (re)aligned with the central bank’s inflation target and demand growth should slow. This is necessary to reduce the pricing power of firms and to limit wage growth. The latter is the result of a less dynamic labor market: vacancies and job opportunities are diminishing. It is unclear whether this inevitably requires a significant increase in the unemployment rate. The usual macroeconomic “workhorse” – the Phillips curve – suggests that a fall in underlying inflation is accompanied by a sharp rise in the unemployment rate because the curve is rather flat (Chart 1). However, recent observations are completely out of step with the “normal” relationship, making it difficult to assess what might happen in the future.

The question of the rising unemployment rate is linked to the question of a hard or soft landing. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was very humble at his recent press conference in acknowledging that “we don’t know, no one knows if this process will lead to a recession or if so, how big a this recession.

The answer depends on how much tightening will be needed to bring inflation back to target. This is a function of the sensitivity of demand to higher interest rates and the influence of weaker demand on firm pricing decisions and on the labor market.

The latter is characterized by a dynamic interaction between job creations, vacancies, voluntary departures (resignations) and layoffs. These variables influence the pace of wage growth. During a recovery, the number of job offers and vacancies increases, creating upward pressure on wages, with the increase in wages of people who change jobs being greater than those of those who change jobs. do not change jobs (who stay in their job) (Charts 2 and 3). Consequently, the dropout rate increases (Chart 4). In a downturn, unfilled vacancies shrink, the wage growth gap between job changers and job stayers narrows, layoffs increase and, unsurprisingly in this riskier and less rewarding environment, the resignation rate is falling (Chart 5). Overall wage growth is also slowing. At present, we are only at the very beginning of this process – vacancies and the resignation rate have started to fall – but based on historical experience, we should expect that this dynamic is accelerating and that slower wage growth will contribute to lower inflation next year. The question remains, however, to what extent, which is why Federal Reserve policy is completely dependent on data.

Chart

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What are the Browns’ options to replace Anthony Walker? https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/what-are-the-browns-options-to-replace-anthony-walker/ Sat, 24 Sep 2022 11:05:00 +0000 https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/what-are-the-browns-options-to-replace-anthony-walker/

Very, very sad news regarding Browns MLB Anthony Walker with the torn quad tendon in his left leg. He injured it in Thursday night’s win over the Pittsburgh Steelers and after an MRI, the quadriceps tendon tear was revealed for the six-year veteran. Just a horrible injury for a first-team guy who had a terrific season.

Walker is now ruled out for the year.

RELATED: BROWNS LOSE ANTHONY WALKER TO INJURY

Prior to the game against the Steelers, Walker was listed in the league’s Top 10 Defensive Players on the Focus on professional football scoring system with a score of 90.8. His stats for the year included 13 total tackles, four tackles for loss, 3 starts and two slaps. The defensive captain of the Browns had three seasons where he made more than 100 tackles including 113 last year.

In the same match, JOK was injured but should come back. His PFF rating also ranked him in the Top 10 at 91.4, giving Cleveland two linebackers in the top echelon of defenders.

So with the news that Walker is out for the year, now what? What are the Browns’ options?

Current list


Lon Horwedel – USA TODAY Sports

Jacob Phillips

When the Browns selected Jacob Phillips out of LSU in the third round in 2020, they knew he was a productive center linebacker with speed who could make plays from sideline to sideline.

Like most other rookies who are defensive players, he played mostly on special teams, but made one appearance in nine games with three starts. At times he was sidelined with knee issues. Phillips had 25 total tackles, one slap pass, one tackle for loss, one QB hit and well, not much else. It was a learning year for the young man.

Phillips (6′-3″, 229 pounds) took a detour on his career. In only his second year with Cleveland, he suffered a bicep injury just as the season was about to unfold. when he reached out to grab a passing player. This placed him on IR which he missed the first 12 games. . His second season was supposed to become his contributor year and yet it was not with the biceps problem.This abbreviated year, Phillips had just 17 tackles and two tackles for loss.

One thing is certain: Phillips is in perfect health and has put on a lot of weight. Its natural position is in the middle.

During training camp, Walker was sidelined with a groin injury to which Phillips got all first-team defensive reps as linebacker MIKE.

Phillips played on 123 defensive snaps last year good enough for 10.98% of defensive plays. He also had 24 special teams snaps (5.65%).

During the offseason, Phillips joined the coaching staff and remained in the area. The result was the addition of muscle to his lean body and he now follows a plant-based diet.

The extra weight makes him appear beefier, which leans towards an imposing physique. Basically, he rebuilt his body. But the extra volume didn’t affect its speed. What he should do is increase his stamina during matches and hope his tackling abilities give him a little more punch.

In the offseason as well as in training camp, Phillips was in every game and knows exactly what the defense is doing. To play this MIKE linebacker role, you need to know what you’re doing inside and out, because you’re often directing traffic. Phillips has become a student of the game. The big question now is, is he ready to become the full-time starter?

NFL: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Cleveland Browns

Scott Galvin – USA TODAY Sports

Sione Takitaki

Takitaki (6′-1″, 238 pounds) came to the Browns in the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft at BYU where he played center linebacker. As a starter of four and captain of the defense, he was successful 237 career tackles with 32.5 tackles for loss and 14.5 sacks.

With Cleveland, he has established himself as a special teams demon, but plays sparingly on regular defense. He has 22 NFL starts and 137 total tackles to date.

In the first two games, he earned an 80.7 rating on PFF, fourth highest on the Browns’ roster. He can be physical and is very good at coming back to cover. His contract comes after this year and the discussion is whether an extension is eminent for the underrated linebacker.

Takitaki has been a constant presence on defense, but to date has been a situational player. With DC Joe Woods playing a lot of 4-2-5, this eliminates Takitaki in favor of another cornerback or safety. He managed to play 285 defensive snaps last season.

He can be a disrupter in the running game and has ranked quite well in that aspect. Better back in tight end coverage with a respectable 73.4 PFF rating last year.

NFL: Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns

Scott Galvin – USA TODAY Sports

Jordan Kunaszyk

Originally undrafted in 2019 after a successful career at American River College and then California, Kunaszyk (6′-3″, 235 pounds) was named First Team All Pac-12 and Second Team All-American after recording 143 tackles his senior year at Cal. He spent time with Carolina and Washington before coming to Cleveland. He is a devout Christian who plans to become a pastor once his football career is over.

Kunaszyk has played 29 NFL games with zero starts in four seasons. He has 16 total tackles and not much else stat-wise. After landing on the practice squad, he was one of two players the Browns would make active for games and then raised him permanently on September 21.

He is known as a movie addict and studies all the time. His 40 time of 4.82 is negative but he is a hard worker and hustle all the time.

Free Agents


NFL: Denver Broncos vs. New York Giants

Vincent Carchietta – USA TODAY Sports

AJ Johnson – Denver, 30

Johnson (6′-2″, 255 pounds) was with Denver for four years and has 249 total tackles with 34 NFL starts and 4.5 sacks. He tore a pectoral last year during the week 6 and the club never re-signed him Had 124 tackles for a full season in 2020. Despite being 30 years old, Johnson is an excellent linebacker.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns

Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images

Joe Schobert – Denver, 28

Schobert (6′-1″, 240 lbs) was a tackle machine when he played for Cleveland from 2013-2019. He was cleared to sign elsewhere as a crawl version with a huge contract looming, which he got Jacksonville.He was with Denver that year but has since been waived.

In Cleveland, Schobert totaled 408 tackles, including a league-leading 144 in 2017, his only Pro Bowl. He’s not a big bag and he’ll miss a few tackles, but he’ll do a lot more and help this defence.

New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills

Photo by Timothy T. Ludwig/Getty Images

Dont’a Hightower – New England, 32

The seasoned New England veteran is now on the other side of 30 and has a few miles on him, but remains in good physical condition and is a player. Taken in the first round of the 2012 NFL Draft, Hightower won three Super Bowls along with two Pro Bowls and was named a Second Team All-Pro in 2018.

He has 569 career total tackles with 114 NFL starts, 27 sacks and 43 tackles for loss. Would be a leader in the locker room and a veteran presence on the pitch. Was a 2020 opt-out, but had 64 tackles last year and started every game.

Survey

What do you think is the best way to replace Anthony Walker?

  • 65%

    Jacob Phillips

    (339 votes)

  • 2%

    Sione Takitaki

    (13 votes)

  • 1%

    Jordan Kunaszyk

    (6 votes)

  • 22%

    Bring back Joe Schobert

    (115 votes)

  • 9%

    Sign another free agent linebacker

    (47 votes)


520 votes in total

Vote now

.

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NFL Predictions Week Three: Dante Hall joins Neil Reynolds and Jeff Reinebold to make their game picks | NFL News https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/nfl-predictions-week-three-dante-hall-joins-neil-reynolds-and-jeff-reinebold-to-make-their-game-picks-nfl-news/ Thu, 22 Sep 2022 16:04:00 +0000 https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/nfl-predictions-week-three-dante-hall-joins-neil-reynolds-and-jeff-reinebold-to-make-their-game-picks-nfl-news/

Neil Reynolds

American football pundit and columnist

Watch the NFL live on Sky Sports on Sundays at 6 p.m. – with Week 3 kicking off with the Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins, followed by the Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the San Francisco 49ers @ Denver Broncos.

Last update: 09/22/22 6:11 p.m.


Former Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver and return Dante Hall joins Neil Reynolds and Jeff Reinebold in giving their predictions for Week 3 in the NFL.

Hall, who joins our live studio coverage on Sunday night – 5 p.m. Sky Sports NFL – says another learning curve awaits Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

Click the link below to listen to the trio on this week’s Inside The Huddle podcast and read on to see Neil, Jeff and Dante’s week three play picks…

Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins

Sunday, live on Sky Sports NFL, 6 p.m.

Miami Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa had a career-best six touchdowns as he led his team to a sensational win over the Baltimore Ravens.

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Miami Dolphins’ Tua Tagovailoa had a career-best six touchdowns as he led his team to a sensational win over the Baltimore Ravens.

Miami Dolphins’ Tua Tagovailoa had a career-best six touchdowns as he led his team to a sensational win over the Baltimore Ravens.

NEIL PICKS: Invoices

“Miami looks like an exciting and fun team to watch, a wild card level team. Buffalo is a Super Bowl level team, I think they’re going to win it all, I’m going Buffalo.”

JEFF PICKS: Invoices

“I’m going to take Buffalo too. I’m going to say because of Leslie Frazier and the defense, I think the defense is really special and now you have Von Miller, and (Jordan) Phillips has been a revelation inside as a defensive tackle, he gives them a big push inside.

“AJ Epenesa has taken a step forward as a top rusher, I really like what Leslie Frazier has built.”

NFL live

September 25, 2022, 5:00 p.m.

Live of Sky Sports Action

DANTE PICKS: Invoices

“I love Buffalo. I just think the experience, they’ve been in great games, the Dolphins and Tua especially with this new cast of receivers haven’t been in a game like they’re going to this Sunday.

“I think it’s going to be a learning curve for him, I think Buffalo is the best team, has the best quarterback and the best team overall.”

Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sunday, live on Sky Sports NFL, 9:25 p.m.

Highlights of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints from Week 2 of the NFL season.

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Highlights of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints from Week 2 of the NFL season.

Highlights of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New Orleans Saints from Week 2 of the NFL season.

NEIL PICKS: packers

“Green Bay kicked off the running game, 200 yards last week on the ground, there’s no Akiem Hicks for next month for the Bucs, that’s where the on-court class splits – I ain’t talking about Aaron Rodgers, I’m talking about me and against you two!”

NFL live

September 25, 2022, 9:15 p.m.

Live of Sky Sports Action

JEFF PICKS: Bucs

“I think defense, what Todd Bowles did to Aaron Rodgers if you analyze him, they come with a ton of secondary blitzes, corner blitzes, nickel blitzes and his hit rate against those blitzes is very, very low. .

“You look at what happened the last two times they played, Todd Bowles has his number right now.
I will leave with the defense.”

DANTE PICKS: Bucs

“It’s tough. Obviously Tom comes in with injured cavalry, but that defense is incredible. Aaron Rodgers seemed to come together last week against the Bears, but I’ll go with the defense, I’ll go with the Bucs.”

San Francisco 49ers @ Denver Broncos

Sunday Night Football, live on Sky Sports NFL, Monday, 1:20 a.m.

Highlights of the Houston Texans against the Denver Broncos from Week 2 of the NFL season.

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Highlights of the Houston Texans against the Denver Broncos from Week 2 of the NFL season.

Highlights of the Houston Texans against the Denver Broncos from Week 2 of the NFL season.

NEIL PICKS: 49ers

“I like San Francisco. I just think they’re a solid team, good formation from top to bottom. In a way, Jimmy G gives them some stability.”

JEFF’S PICK: 49ers

“I wink at the San Francisco front because you look at Denver’s offensive line, Russell Wilson ran for his life the first two weeks of the season. They didn’t play a defensive line as good as that of San Francisco.”

NFL live

September 26, 2022, 1:15 a.m.

Live of Sky Sports Action

DANTE PICKS: 49ers

“I think they’re still trying to figure it out in Denver, San Francisco got it. With a full week of practice as a starting quarterback from Jimmy Garoppolo, I think they’re going to come out excited. That defense is sound. in San Francisco too.”

Sky Sports NFL is your dedicated channel for NFL coverage throughout the season – with a wealth of NFL Network programming. Don’t forget to follow us on skysports.com/nflour Twitter account @SkySportsNFL & Sky Sports – on the go!

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Egypt unveils ancient sarcophagus of Ramses II-era ‘royal secretary’ https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/egypt-unveils-ancient-sarcophagus-of-ramses-ii-era-royal-secretary/ Mon, 19 Sep 2022 14:26:55 +0000 https://piazzacarlogiuliani.org/egypt-unveils-ancient-sarcophagus-of-ramses-ii-era-royal-secretary/

Saqqara has been the site of a wave of excavations in recent years, a key part of Egypt’s attempts to revive its tourism industry



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